I got to thinking about what makes or breaks a President and have decided it’s nothing more than dumb luck because it’s the last year of a man’s term is all that counts. It doesn’t really matter what you are or do as President. You can be a drunk, a philanderer, get us into a war, (right here it is always best if you win it), it really doesn’t matter what you are or what you do, if the economy is good. People look in their pocket and if there is anything there they keep the man they’ve got, or if their pockets are empty, will vote for whoever promises to fill it the fullest. That’s the long and short of it.
Jimmy Carter inherited a poor economy from Gerald Ford and it just got worse as time rolled along. Then there was the Iranian hostage crisis, which did not go too well either. By the end of his first 4 years interest was 21 percent and everyone was feeling the pinch. People’s pockets were empty. The economy was terrible. Along comes Ronald Reagan promising prosperity. I could have run in Reagans place and won. Poor Jimmy couldn’t even get his brother Billy to vote for him a second time.
Reagan got elected and had a tough first three years but in the fourth year he turned things around and won reelection easily. That’s because the economy was humming and interest was down and people had money in their pockets again. Then comes George Bush, Sr., who rode Reagan’s good economy right into office as he promised to keep the good times rolling.
It didn’t matter that Bush beat the tar out of the hapless Iraqis, because when it came time to vote Bush a second term, the economy had went sour. Along came Bill Clinton and all that talk about the economy. Bush’s war victory was forgotten about and it was all about the pocketbook. Clinton won easily by promising prosperity and after he was inaugurated, the economy cranked up, the budget got balanced and at reelection time money was everywhere and Clinton was unbeatable. Then in Clinton’s last four years there was Monica and all kinds of trouble and the economy was headed south.
Then came the contest between Bush and Gore and Bush didn’t look or act like he was insane so he won and promptly gave us two wars. Since it looked like we were winning the wars at reelection time, he won again. Even with untold spending, at Republican request I might add, the economy headed south, the wars grew old, the Democrats took control of the House and Senate prompting Bush to give free medicine for seniors with the bill to pay for it passed to the grandkids. And that is all I have to say about that.
Then came Obama. Even with a bad economy and four tumultuous years, he got reelected because the Federal Reserve was burning the bearings out of the money printing presses and government checks or aid of some kind was going to two thirds of the people in the country. Free stuff is hard to overcome. Jesus could not have beaten Obama without having to call on his Daddy for Divine intervention.
The Republicans are trying to figure out why they lost the White House and so many seats in Congress this last time around and I think I can help them. It’s because of the candidates they chose. Let’s face it, a democrat could never in the world have won the new 2nd District Representative seat if the people had chosen in the Primary a well-spoken republican candidate with the ability to look in a camera and at least say his name correctly, but they didn’t. They chose instead a fellow what looked like he’d just escaped from a homeless shelter and desperately needed a bath and a shave even if he’d just had both, and who froze like a deer in the headlights every time a camera turned on him.
I hear our new Representative, a Democrat, is thinking of turning Republican and I can tell you right now that if the economy is stinking at reelection time, he will. Then he’ll be free to rail against every problem he helped create over the last however long because all it depends on is what’s in folks pockets at the time or how much the candidate promises to give them.
Somebody needs to tell the Republicans. The Democrats already know.